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Vitamin R: To Those Who Think The Israel-Iran Ceasefire is Durable: It Is Likely Not.
The ceasefire between Israel and Iran, while holding for now, is unlikely to prove durable. The primary reason lies in the instability of...
john raymond
Jun 25, 20252 min read


Vlad Vexler Is Largely Right: Rutte Is Fucking Up Royally With Regard to Trump
Vlad Vexler is right about Rutte. The man is fucking up royally. Let’s start with the obvious: Mark Rutte is fucking up. His approach...
john raymond
Jun 25, 20253 min read


Yellow and Blue within The Scarab Cycle: Mourning, Struggle, and the Spirit of Ukraine
Link to a free digital copy below When I first began writing The Scarab Cycle , the symbolism wasn’t deliberate—not at first. I had used...
john raymond
Jun 25, 20253 min read


Vitamin R: With Iran in the Headlines, It Is Easy to Forget that Putin Is the Main Bad Guy— Trump Is Just a Henchman
By John R Raymond The headlines are dominated by Iran again—missile strikes, nuclear sites, regional escalations. And while the danger is...
john raymond
Jun 25, 20252 min read


Jake Broe: I Watched Your Video — And Sadly, Trump Is Worse Than You Think
Dear Jake Broe, Your analysis is one of the better attempts to make sense of Trump’s attacks on Iran in the wake of Israel’s escalation....
john raymond
Jun 25, 20254 min read


Notice How We Aren’t Talking About Ukraine? That’s Exactly What Trump and Putin Want
This is how Trump and Putin want it. In the wake of the strikes on Iran—first by Israel, then by the United States under Donald Trump—we...
john raymond
Jun 24, 20253 min read


What BlueSky Needs: More Than Rude, Rude to JD Vance
I understand why the Rude tag exists. There’s value in giving people a warning label, in letting them know what they’re about to read...
john raymond
Jun 24, 20252 min read


Does Trump Want Peace Between Iran and Israel?
Yes, but only because Putin does—and even then, only on Putin's terms. The central question isn’t whether Donald Trump seeks peace in the...
john raymond
Jun 24, 20253 min read


Listen to the Lincoln Project If You Don’t Want to Know What the Fuck Is Actually Going On
The Lincoln Project has always been a brand, not a braintrust. But now, in the midst of global crisis—when we need clarity, rigor, and...
john raymond
Jun 24, 20252 min read


Anders Puck Nielsen Gets It: NATO Can’t Rely on Trump. His Removal Is Key
There is a clarity to Anders Puck Nielsen’s analysis that is absent from nearly every official NATO statement since Trump’s return to...
john raymond
Jun 23, 20252 min read


Rutte Thinks He Is Threading the Needle, But He Is Sleepwalking NATO to Its Doom
Mark Rutte, newly installed as NATO Secretary-General, has taken the reins at a moment of profound instability. And in the wake of the...
john raymond
Jun 23, 20252 min read


Donald Trump Is Not a Peacemaker—And CNN's Framing Is Dangerous
The decision by CNN to frame Donald Trump’s strikes on Iran as the act of a peacemaker is not simply misleading—it is a profound betrayal...
john raymond
Jun 23, 20254 min read


When AOC Is Right, She Is Right On! Illegal Attacks on Iran Are Grounds for Impeachment and Removal
There are moments in American political life when clarity strikes like lightning—rare, brilliant, and impossible to ignore. Alexandria...
john raymond
Jun 22, 20253 min read


The Two Shorthand Rules for Understanding Trump
There is much that goes into my understanding Trump—models, frameworks, pattern-matching to autocrats, betrayal cycles, and asymmetric...
john raymond
Jun 22, 20252 min read


Notice How All Those Saying "TACO" or "Two Weeks" Aren't Saying It Anymore?
Remember the endless stream of pundits, commentators, and self-proclaimed experts who told us not to worry? That Trump wouldn't actually...
john raymond
Jun 22, 20252 min read


"Maddow: 'We Are Now in War with Iran'" Is Useless—And So Is the Media That Keeps Getting Trump Wrong
For years now, mainstream media outlets have treated Donald Trump as if he were just another politician—a loud, blustering anomaly to be...
john raymond
Jun 21, 20252 min read


On the Practice of Strategic Pattern Analysis
How John R. Raymond’s Methodology Uncovered the Logic of the Iran Strike—and Why Readers Should Demand More In a media and intelligence...
john raymond
Jun 21, 20255 min read


If You Were Wrong About Trump and Iran—You Owe Us All Silence Now
If you were wrong like Chris Hayes, please shut up and listen for a goddamn minute! Donald Trump attacked Iran. Let that sentence sink...
john raymond
Jun 21, 20253 min read


Chris Hayes Proves He Is an Idiot: Trump Only Wants to Sabotage the Nobel Peace Prize
On Bluesky this week, MSNBC host Chris Hayes made the spectacularly wrong assertion that Donald Trump’s transparent jealousy over Barack...
john raymond
Jun 20, 20252 min read


War With Iran: The Emperor Has No Clothes — And the Tailor Is Lying
Vladimir Putin needs a miracle in Ukraine. He cannot win outright; he cannot admit defeat. What he can do is change the subject. A...
john raymond
Jun 20, 20253 min read
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